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Original article| Volume 110, P62-70, April 2023

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Trends in prevalence and all-cause mortality of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease among adults in the past three decades: Results from the NHANES study

  • Author Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Zhi-Qin Xie
    Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Hong-Xia Li
    Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Department of Pathology, Zhuzhou Hospital Affiliated to Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Zhuzhou, China
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Bing-Kun Wang
    Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Zhao-Ming Yang
    Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Zhuzhou Hospital Affiliated to Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Zhuzhou, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Zi-Yu Zhang
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Wen-Liang Tan
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Wen-Xin Li
    Affiliations
    Department of Colorectal Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Qing-Bin Wang
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Lei Yang
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Hong-Kai Zhuang
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Chen-Wei Tang
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
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  • Chang-Zhen Shang
    Correspondence
    Corresponding authors.
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Ya-Jin Chen
    Correspondence
    Corresponding authors.
    Affiliations
    Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China

    Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Malignant Tumor Epigenetics and Gene Regulation, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
    Search for articles by this author
  • Author Footnotes
    1 These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship.
Published:February 06, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejim.2023.01.029

      Highlights

      • Prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was high (36%).
      • Prevalence of MAFLD increased significantly in the past three decades.
      • Prevalence of metabolic unhealthy non-diabetes subtype was the highest, followed by mixed subtype.
      • MAFLD was associated with an increased all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.
      • A significant impact of metabolic parameters on the relationship between MAFLD and all-cause mortality was demonstrated.

      Abstract

      Background

      Given the escalating epidemic of obesity and diabetes coupled with redefined diagnostic criteria, it is critical to identify the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). We sought to determine the prevalence and mortality outcomes of MAFLD subtypes based on diagnostic criteria in the USA over the past three decades.

      Methods

      Eleven cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES; 1988–1994 and 1999–2020) were used, and 72,224 participants were included. MAFLD was defined according to the 2020 International Expert Consensus. Based on diagnostic criteria and risk factors, MAFLD was categorized into seven subtypes: type 1 (obesity subtype), 2 (metabolic unhealthy subtype), 3 (diabetes subtype), 4 (metabolic unhealthy non-diabetes subtype), 5 (obesity and diabetes subtype), 6 (metabolic unhealthy non-obesity subtype), and 7 (mixed subtype).

      Results

      Over the study period, the estimated prevalence of MAFLD increased significantly from 22% in 1988–1994 to 36% in 2017–2020. The prevalence of Type 4 was the highest, followed by that of Type 7, whereas other types were low and almost unchanged over time. Individuals with MAFLD had 19% and 38% increased mortality risks from all causes and cardiovascular disease, respectively. Among them, the metabolically unhealthy participants with normal weight demonstrated a 116% higher risk for all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 2.16, 95% CI: 1.52–3.08] and a 222% higher risk for cardiovascular mortality (HR: 3.22, 95% CI: 1.72–6.04). Interestingly, stratification and interaction analyses demonstrated a significant impact of metabolic parameters on the relationship between MAFLD and all-cause mortality.

      Conclusions

      In conclusion, our study identified an increase in MAFLD prevalence and a significant association between metabolic derangements in MAFLD and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.

      Keywords

      Abbreviations:

      ACM (all-cause mortality), ALT (alanine aminotransferase), AST (aspartate aminotransferase), ALB (albumin), BMI (body mass index), 95%CI (95% confidence interval), GGT (gamma glutamyl transferase), HBP (high blood pressure), HDL (high-density lipoprotein), HR (hazard ratio), MAFLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease), NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey), SE (standard error), TC (total cholesterol), T2DM (Type 2 diabetic mellitus), US-FLI (US-Fatty Liver Index)
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